Oregon vs. Oregon State odds, line: 2021 Pac-12 Tournament picks, predictions from proven model


State bragging rights and a spot in the 2021 Pac-12 Tournament title game are on the line Friday night when fifth-seeded Oregon State (15-12) and top-seeded Oregon (20-5) meet in a semifinal matchup. The winner gets either No. 2 USC or No. 3 Colorado on Saturday for the Pac-12 title and the automatic 2021 NCAA Tournament bid. The Ducks don’t need an automatic bid to play in the Big Dance, but the Beavers might. The schools are meeting for the 357th time, making it the most-contested rivalry in college basketball.

Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The Ducks are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Oregon State vs. Oregon odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 136. Before locking in any Oregon vs. Oregon State picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $ 2,600 for $ 100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $ 400 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Oregon vs. Oregon State in the Pac-12 Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Oregon State vs. Oregon:

  • Oregon State vs. Oregon: Oregon -8.5
  • Oregon State vs. Oregon over-under: 136 points
  • Oregon State vs. Oregon money line: Oregon -400; Oregon State +310
  • OSU: The Beavers are 13-1-1 ATS in their past 15 Friday games
  • ORE: The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their past five Friday games
Featured Game | Oregon Ducks vs. Oregon State Beavers

Why Oregon can cover 

Oregon beat Oregon State by 13 points just last Sunday in Corvallis, jumping out to a 26-10 lead and leading by double digits the rest of the way. The Ducks torched the Beavers by shooting 15-for-23 from deep (65.2 percent). That clinched the Pac-12 regular-season title for Oregon for the second straight year. Yes, Oregon State won at Oregon 75-64 on Jan. 23, but the Ducks were dealing with major COVID issues then and down three of their best players in Chris Duarte, LJ Figueroa and Will Richardson.

The Ducks also will have the rest advantage Friday. Both teams played Thursday night, but Oregon’s game started earlier and it barely broke a sweat in a rout of Arizona State. Duarte, the Pac-12 Player of the Year, played just 28 minutes, for example. On the flip side, Oregon State had to rally from 16 points down and played into overtime to upset UCLA. In its past 11 neutral-site games as a betting favorite, Oregon is 9-2 ATS. 

Why Oregon State can cover

Oregon State will not lack for confidence as on Jan. 23 in Eugene, the Beavers upset Oregon 75-64 behind 19 points from Ethan Thompson and 14 points and 16 rebounds from Warith Alatishe. OSU obliterated the Ducks on the boards with a 42-23 advantage. When the schools met last Sunday in Corvallis, the Beavers lost 80-67, but outplayed Oregon after falling behind 26-10. The Ducks also shot 65.2 percent from deep, which is almost surely not doable again.

The Beavers improved to 7-1 ATS in their past eight as underdogs with Thursday’s 83-79 overtime win over fourth-seeded UCLA — rallying from down 16 points in the first half. It was the fourth time this season that OSU won a game it trailed by double digits. Alatishe scored a career-high 22 points with 10 rebounds. If Oregon State needs a late free throw to clinch Friday, it will be in good shape with Jarod Lucas. He’s hitting 91.7 percent from the free-throw line this season, which would be a school record.

How to make Oregon State vs. Oregon picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 145 points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Oregon State vs. Oregon? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.

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